Democrats’ dreams of indicting former President Donald Trump out of 2024 contention took a hit this week, according to a new survey by YouGov conducted for the Economist.
In a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup, the now-indicted and arraigned Trump would have the support of 44% of registered voters in the rematch of the last election. Biden came in at 42% with 14% of respondents undecided.
The former president netted a swing of four points in his favor compared to a previous poll taken by YouGov for Yahoo! News just prior to the unprecedented indictment.
That tally showed Trump trailing Biden 45% to 43%.
Interestingly and contrary to assertions by the mainstream media, Trump leads among U.S. adult women 39% to 38%. The key independent demographic also backs the 45th president by a resounding 35% to 24%.
The prosecution of former President Donald Trump has evenly divided Americans but appears to have boosted his chances of winning the Republican nomination for the 2024 election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll https://t.co/7J4JmKdII4 pic.twitter.com/5dHfmLJGwc
— Reuters (@Reuters) April 7, 2023
In this block, 7% are undecided and 24% declared they would not vote in the next election.
Challengers to Trump on the Republican side are busy lining up with more on the way. Everyone from Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis and Mike Pence to Asa Hutchinson, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Mike Pompeo are already running or widely expected to throw their hats in the ring.
Assuming Trump survives the primaries, it is all but certain he would square off against Biden.
Therefore, currently it’s Trump v. Biden that is the topic of conversation. The YouGov poll broke down numbers further, finding that 40% of U.S. adults predicted a Trump victory while the same number foresaw Biden winning reelection.
Narrowing the results to registered voters saw 44% predicting a Biden reelection while 42% believed Trump would win a second term. Independents gave the Republican the nod by seven percentage points.
Voters were nearly evenly split when asked if Trump’s indictment was a “legitimate investigation.” The controversial action by the Manhattan DA’s office is believed to be “legitimate” by 46% of registered voters, while 45% saw it as a “witch hunt.”
Democrats have long sought to derail any chance of Trump’s winning reelection through weaponizing all levels of government against him. The actual effects of the indictments are far from certain, however, and many will likely rally to support the persecuted candidate.