With the pivotal midterms rapidly approaching, analysts are quick to note that a president’s approval rating is a key factor in determining how their party will fare. It is no secret that the party controlling the White House typically loses seats, particularly one performing so poorly as this.
The Biden administration has fallen even lower in most of the 50 states since mid-summer when a brief surge encouraged his allies — in the media and elsewhere.
NEW POLL: Biden net approval is underwater in 45 States
ALASKA: 31/64 (-33)
PENNSYLVANIA: 40/58 (-18)
ARIZONA: 40/58 (-18)
WISCONSIN: 41/57 (-16)
NEVADA: 41/56 (-15)
GEORGIA: 41/56 (-15)
RHODE ISLAND: 41/56 (-15)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 13, 2022
Briefly optimistic feelings over a pair of legislative victories, including the woefully misnamed “Inflation Reduction Act,” had some on the left crowing about a White House resurgence.
Coupled with what some radicals felt would be an extreme voter backlash over the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade, the airwaves were suddenly alive with talk of averting the presumed November bloodbath.
But that was then.
Inflation and the accompanying weak leadership marches on, and voters are keeping tabs. Poll after poll shows Biden’s approval ratings have continued to tank in nearly all states. Morning Consult Political Intelligence tracking, for example, shows disapproval from majorities in 41 states.
Look no further than the president’s net approval rating. This figure is reached simply by taking the share of those who approve of his job performance and subtracting those who disapprove.
The tally is underwater in a whopping 45 states.
Four states, Alaska, Hawaii, Oregon and Utah showed the largest net approval loss for Biden between the second and third quarters of 2022. His disapproval in Hawaii reached 50% for the first time since his inauguration.
In fact, only five states still show a positive net approval rating, and they are Democratic strongholds California, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, and Vermont. Even leftist bastions such as Illinois, Oregon, and Connecticut disapprove of his job performance.
The numbers are also woeful in states where Democrats are counting on victories to keep their slim hold on the Senate. Disapproval rates for Arizona (58%), Nevada (56%), North Carolina (58%), Ohio (60%), and Pennsylvania (58%) point to the tough road ahead for the White House.